![]() These are seats that the GOP should be winning easily because they shifted so much toward Republicans in redistricting that they’re barely competitive. ![]() This list is by no means exhaustive and may be updated as we get closer to Election Day. Race ratings come from Inside Elections with Nathan L. Here are some key House races to keep an eye on that could determine whether Republicans win the majority – and, assuming they do, the kinds of races that may signal just how much of a “red wave” is cresting over Washington. That requires defending seats Democrats are targeting, including those that became bluer in redistricting. To win the House majority, however, Republicans need to hold most of their own seats. In fact, Republicans have chances to flip all the races they’d need to win the House in two blue states alone – Oregon and New York – thanks to a combination of new maps and open seats. Nationally, redistricting benefited House Republicans overall, though things turned out better for Democrats than expected – just not everywhere. Those open seats are harder for Democrats to defend because they generally require outside groups to spend more than they would have had to with an incumbent in the race raising money. Interactive: Six states to watch for the 2022 midtermsĭemocratic retirements opened new opportunities across the map, including in places such as Rhode Island, giving House Republicans another viable district to try to regain a foothold in New England after being wiped out in 2018. Underscoring Democrats’ defensive posture, 9 of the 10 House races seeing the most ad spending in the final week feature vulnerable incumbent Democrats. But that’s also a reflection of the gains they made in 2020 the GOP needs to reach even deeper into Biden territory to find Democratic-held seats they can go after. In part because of those national conditions, Republicans are also targeting some districts that Biden would have won by double digits under the new lines. ![]() Although these contests take place in 435 individual districts, they tend to be more nationalized affairs since candidates have less defined brands than senators. Republicans also have history on their side, since a new president’s party often loses seats in the midterms – especially a president with approval ratings like Joe Biden’s.Īll of those tailwinds are easier for the GOP to take advantage of in House races. Wade injected a heavy dose of uncertainty into the political landscape this summer, the economy and inflation remain the most pressing concerns for voters, a dynamic that plays into Republican attacks on the party in power. Even after the Supreme Court’s decision overturning Roe v. Please review our full terms contained on our Terms of Service page.The backdrop to these individual races is a national environment that would appear to be a boon to the GOP. We further caution that our travel scores are only as good as the data that underpin them, that weather conditions at any given location and time are unpredictable and variable, and that the definition of the scores reflects a particular set of preferences that may not agree with those of any particular reader. While having the tremendous advantages of temporal and spatial completeness, these reconstructions: (1) are based on computer models that may have model-based errors, (2) are coarsely sampled on a 50 km grid and are therefore unable to reconstruct the local variations of many microclimates, and (3) have particular difficulty with the weather in some coastal areas, especially small islands. We draw particular cautious attention to our reliance on the MERRA-2 model-based reconstructions for a number of important data series. We assume no responsibility for any decisions made on the basis of the content presented on this site. Weather data is prone to errors, outages, and other defects. The information on this site is provided as is, without any assurances as to its accuracy or suitability for any purpose. See all nearby weather stations Disclaimer The details of the data sources used for this report can be found on the Minneapolis-St Paul International/Wold-Chamberlain Airport page. Thunderstorm in the Vicinity, Heavy Snow, Snow, Light Snow, Freezing Fog, Mist, Blowing Snow SN, -PLRA, -PLRASN, -PLSNRA, -RASN, -SNRA, RASN, -RA, BR ![]() Light Snow Light Ice Pellets and Rain Light Ice Pellets, Rain, and Snow Light Ice Pellets, Snow, and Rain Light Rain and Snow Light Snow and Rain Rain and Snow Light Rain Mist
0 Comments
Leave a Reply. |